A total of 79 individuals were included in the final analysis (Table1)
The eight measurements are : (Fig.3)
1.Sinus of Valsalva (SOV) largest diameter “cusp to cusp”2. SOV length “annulus to Sino tubular junction” (STJ)3. Largest diameter of the ascending aorta 4. Ascending aorta length ”annulus to brachiocephalic artery" 5. STJ-hiatus length 6. Thoracic aorta length” annulus to diaphragmatic hiatus” 7. Ascending aorta volume "annulus to brachiocephalic artery"8. Thoracic aorta volume “annulus to diaphragmatic hiatus”
All the absolute measurements were indexed to the body surface area (BSA) and to the height. The difference between most of the measurements in Marfan patients and the normal cohort were statistically of significant difference (P <0.05), except the ascending aorta diameter.
The difference in ascending aorta diameter, both as an absolute value and when indexed to BSA, showed a P-value of <0.05 (Fig.4 and Fig.5)
The three most significant parameters for identifying patients at risk of AAE (Acute Aortic Events) are those with the highest AUC (Area Under the Curve) values, as AUC measures the ability to distinguish between patients at risk and those not at risk.
The top 3 Parameters are : (Tables 2,3 and 4)
- SOV(SV) diameter (AUC = 0.958) – Best overall predictor
- SOV (SV) length (AUC = 0.911) – Second-best predictor
- Ascending Aorta length (Asc Ao length) (AUC = 0.878) – Third-best predictor
These parameters have the highest AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy, making them the most reliable for identifying AAE risk.
The least statistically significant parameter (Tables 2,3 and 4)
- Sensitivity: 0.80 (moderate)
- Specificity: 0.51 (low)
- PPV: 67.4 (low)
- NPV: 66.9 (low)
- Accuracy: 63.9 (lowest among all parameters)